Market Update – November 12th, 2024

QUESTION:

Give me a comprehensive market update for this week.

RESPONSE:

This week in the financial markets is marked by several key events and data releases that are likely to influence market movements:

1. U.S. Economic Data Releases:

  • Consumer Price Index (CPI) data is scheduled for release on Wednesday. This inflation data is crucial as it provides insights into the economic health and inflation trends, which are significant determinants of the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decisions[1].
  • Producer Price Index (PPI) and weekly jobless claims are due on Thursday. These indicators will offer additional insights into the inflationary pressures and the health of the labor market[2].
  • Retail Sales and Industrial Production data for October will be released on Friday. These figures are essential for gauging consumer demand and the overall industrial activity in the economy[3][4].

2. Earnings Reports:

  • Notable companies like On Holdings, Home Depot, Spotify, and Disney are set to report their earnings this week. These reports could provide significant market-moving news, depending on the outcomes relative to market expectations[5].

3. Market Trends and Analyst Insights:

  • Following a rally last week attributed to the post-election environment and Federal Reserve’s actions, the stock market’s future movements are anticipated to be driven by the upcoming government inflation reports and further comments from the Fed[6][7].
  • The S&P 500 and Nasdaq have shown strong performances recently, with significant gains last week. The S&P 500 notably soared 4.66%, marking its best week since November 2023, and traded above 6,000 for the first time ever[8].

4. Treasury Yields:

  • U.S. Treasury yields have moved higher as traders digest the implications of the recent election results and anticipate the release of key economic data. This movement in yields reflects broader market expectations about economic growth and inflation[9][10].

5. Gold Prices:

  • Gold prices are hovering near a 1-month low as the market’s focus turns towards the upcoming U.S. economic data and comments from Federal Reserve speakers. These factors are crucial as they influence the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion[11].

6. Global Economic Indicators:

  • The NFIB Business Optimism Index, which provides insights into the performance of small businesses in October, is another significant indicator to watch this week[12].

This comprehensive overview encapsulates the critical economic data releases, earnings reports, and market trends expected to shape the financial landscape this week. Investors and market watchers will be keenly observing these developments to gauge their potential impacts on the markets.

References
[1] Gold hovers near 1-month low ahead of U.S. data, Fed speakers [CNBC]

Market focus will be on the October Consumer Price Index data on Wednesday, Producer Price Index and weekly jobless claims on Thursday, followed by retail sales and industrial production on Friday. https://www.cnbc.com/2024/11/12/gold-hovers-near-1-month-low-ahead-of-us-data-fed-speakers.html

[2] Gold hovers near 1-month low ahead of U.S. data, Fed speakers [CNBC]

Market focus will be on the October Consumer Price Index data on Wednesday, Producer Price Index and weekly jobless claims on Thursday, followed by retail sales and industrial production on Friday. https://www.cnbc.com/2024/11/12/gold-hovers-near-1-month-low-ahead-of-us-data-fed-speakers.html

[3] The 2 things that will drive the stock market after last week’s Trump-Fed rally [CNBC]

Among the other data points this week, October retail sales and October industrial production are both out Friday. https://www.cnbc.com/2024/11/10/the-2-things-that-will-drive-the-stock-market-after-last-weeks-trump-fed-rally.html

[4] Gold hovers near 1-month low ahead of U.S. data, Fed speakers [CNBC]

Market focus will be on the October Consumer Price Index data on Wednesday, Producer Price Index and weekly jobless claims on Thursday, followed by retail sales and industrial production on Friday. https://www.cnbc.com/2024/11/12/gold-hovers-near-1-month-low-ahead-of-us-data-fed-speakers.html

[5] The Setup on Earnings this week: On Holdings, Home Depot, Spotify and Disney [CNBC]

The Investment Committee give you the setup on earnings reporting this week. https://www.cnbc.com/video/2024/11/11/the-setup-on-earnings-this-week-on-holdings-home-depot-spotify-and-disney.html

[6] The 2 things that will drive the stock market after last week’s Trump-Fed rally [CNBC]

The Nasdaq rose 5.7% for the week. https://www.cnbc.com/2024/11/10/the-2-things-that-will-drive-the-stock-market-after-last-weeks-trump-fed-rally.html

[7] The 2 things that will drive the stock market after last week’s Trump-Fed rally [CNBC]

In the week ahead, two government inflation reports are released that Wall Street and the Fed will be watching closely. https://www.cnbc.com/2024/11/10/the-2-things-that-will-drive-the-stock-market-after-last-weeks-trump-fed-rally.html

[8] Trump is the most pro-stock market president in history, Wharton’s Jeremy Siegel says [CNBC]

The S&P 500 soared 4.66% last week for its best week since November 2023, trading above 6,000 for the first time ever. https://www.cnbc.com/2024/11/11/trump-is-the-most-pro-stock-market-president-in-history-whartons-jeremy-siegel.html

[9] U.S. Treasury yields move higher as traders digest Trump win, await key data [CNBC]

Hotly-anticipated inflation data will be watched this week for clues about the health of the economy. https://www.cnbc.com/2024/11/12/us-treasury-yields-investors-anticipate-key-economic-data.html

[10] U.S. Treasury yields move higher as traders digest Trump win, await key data [CNBC]

Also in focus is key economic data due to be released throughout the week, including the NFIB Business Optimism Index on Tuesday, which will offer insights on how small businesses performed in October. https://www.cnbc.com/2024/11/12/us-treasury-yields-investors-anticipate-key-economic-data.html

[11] Gold hovers near 1-month low ahead of U.S. data, Fed speakers [CNBC]

Market focus will be on the October Consumer Price Index data on Wednesday, Producer Price Index and weekly jobless claims on Thursday, followed by retail sales and industrial production on Friday. https://www.cnbc.com/2024/11/12/gold-hovers-near-1-month-low-ahead-of-us-data-fed-speakers.html

[12] U.S. Treasury yields move higher as traders digest Trump win, await key data [CNBC]

Also in focus is key economic data due to be released throughout the week, including the NFIB Business Optimism Index on Tuesday, which will offer insights on how small businesses performed in October. https://www.cnbc.com/2024/11/12/us-treasury-yields-investors-anticipate-key-economic-data.html

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